Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Baris vs Vandecasteele: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Ozan Baris62%
Quinn Vandecasteele38%
Elo: O. Baris 54% · Q. Vandecasteele 46%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 O. Baris40%
2:1 O. Baris22%
2:1 Q. Vandecasteele16%
2:0 Q. Vandecasteele22%
First set
Ozan Baris59%
Quinn Vandecasteele41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%
Total games
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 6,016 matches
Games handicap
O. Baris −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| O. Baris | Tour | Q. Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.49 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/5 | 8/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 22 | 51 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ozan Baris
- 02/11/26LJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Charlottesville · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 01/11/26WJangjun Kim#852Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:3 6:4
- 27/10/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Sioux Falls · R321:6 1:6
- 26/10/26LJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Sioux Falls · Q26:7 7:6 5:7
- 25/10/26WHunter Heck#602Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LCosme Rolland de Ravel#580Challenger Fort Worth · R321:6 2:6
- 28/09/26LBraden Shick#205Challenger Columbus · R326:7 6:0 3:6
- 22/09/26LIgor Marcondes#279Challenger San Diego 2 · R321:6 3:6
- 21/09/26WAlex Rybakov#641Challenger San Diego 2 · Q21:6 6:3 6:4
- 20/09/26WShunsuke Mitsui#589Challenger San Diego 2 · Q16:1 6:2
Quinn Vandecasteele
- 25/10/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Sioux Falls · Q14:6 4:6
- 18/10/26LMichael Antonius#619Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:4 2:6 3:6
- 28/09/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Columbus · Q22:6 6:7
- 27/09/26WPreston StearnsChallenger Columbus · Q16:2 4:6 6:2
- 20/09/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger San Diego 2 · Q15:7 6:4 3:6
- 14/09/26LBryce Nakashima#570Challenger Tiburon · Q22:6 4:6
- 13/09/26WNoah Zamora#752Challenger Tiburon · Q16:1 7:5
- 24/08/26LJames Duckworth#70ATP Winston Salem · R642:6 1:6
- 23/08/26WPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Winston Salem · Q23:6 7:6 7:5
- 22/08/26WLi Tu#506ATP Winston Salem · Q16:3 6:2
Elo over the last year
Ozan BarisQuinn Vandecasteele
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| O. Baris | Q. Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–1050% | 20–2050% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 2–340% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 3–350% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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