Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Friend vs Kusuhara: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jay Friend93%
Yusuke Kusuhara7%
Elo: J. Friend 94% · Y. Kusuhara 6%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Friend76%
2:1 J. Friend16%
2:1 Y. Kusuhara3%
2:0 Y. Kusuhara5%
First set
Jay Friend84%
Yusuke Kusuhara16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes19%
no81%
Total games
Expected total: 20.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 84% | 17% | 94% |
| 16.5 | 73% | 27% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 63% | 37% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 53% | 47% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 43% | 57% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 36% | 64% | 55% |
| 21.5 | 30% | 70% | 49% |
Sample: 1,363 matches
Games handicap
J. Friend −5.556%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes22%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Friend | Tour | Y. Kusuhara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.47 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/23 | 0/2 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 49 | 13 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Friend
- 29/10/26LSho Shimabukuro#118Challenger Seoul · R163:6 1:6
- 27/10/26WAugust Holmgren#267Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:3
- 23/10/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF6:7 1:6
- 21/10/26WJames McCabe#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 20/10/26WOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 6:7 7:6
- 15/10/26LAlexander Shevchenko#108Challenger Jinan · R160:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Jinan · R326:7 7:5 6:3
- 11/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Wuning 3 · F6:4 6:7 6:7
- 10/10/26WKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:2 6:1
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#563Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2
Yusuke Kusuhara
- 25/10/26LLuca Castelnuovo#444Challenger Ningbo · Q12:6 4:6
- 26/04/26LMatthew Dellavedova#235Challenger Jiujiang · Q10:6 3:6
- 12/04/26LLeo Vithoontien#742Challenger Wuning 2 · Q13:6 5:7
- 30/03/26LKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Miyazaki · Q24:6 2:6
- 29/03/26WTsung-Hao Huang#919Challenger Miyazaki · Q15:4
- 22/03/26LTsung-Hao Huang#919Challenger Yokkaichi · Q12:6 2:6
- 02/03/26LMarek Gengel#410Challenger Fujairah · Q12:6 6:7
- 04/01/26LEthan CookChallenger Noumea · Q11:6 5:7
- 21/11/25LAkira Santillan#332Challenger Yokohama · QF3:6 2:6
- 19/11/25WYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Yokohama · R166:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Jay FriendYusuke Kusuhara
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Friend | Y. Kusuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1863% | 5–838% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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