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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Trotter vs Baris 2:1: result and our tips

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James Kent TrotterATP #542Elo 1646hard 1640
2:1final6:3 3:6 6:3
Ozan BarisATP #397Elo 1558hard 1546

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

James Kent Trotter54%
Ozan Baris46%

Elo: J. Trotter 63% · O. Baris 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Trotter35%
2:1 J. Trotter20%
2:1 O. Baris18%
2:0 O. Baris27%

First set

James Kent Trotter54%
Ozan Baris46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,630 matches

Games handicap

J. Trotter −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

James Kent TrotterOzan Baris
9Aces4
3Double faults3
65%First serves in59%
69%First-serve points won70%
57%Second-serve points won50%
4/8Break points converted3/6
11/14Service games held9/13
65%Service points won62%
38%Return points won35%
80Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. TrotterTourO. Baris
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held81%76%77%
Breaks of serve19%24%23%
Aces per service game0.660.39
Double faults per game0.270.23
Sets with a tie-break22%10%
Tie-breaks won11/252/5
Wins in straight sets61%73%
Matches in the sample4621

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James Kent Trotter

  • 01/11/26WOliver Okonkwo#964Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:4 7:5
  • 27/10/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#211Challenger Sioux Falls · R321:6 2:6
  • 26/10/26WOzan Baris#397Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:6 6:7 7:5
  • 25/10/26WTrevor Svajda#481Challenger Sioux Falls · Q14:6 6:3 6:4
  • 18/10/26LGavin Young#530Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:1 4:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26LStefan Kozlov#271Challenger Columbus · R323:6 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLi Tu#506Challenger Columbus · Q23:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WAlexander Ikenna OkonkwoChallenger Columbus · Q17:5 7:6
  • 17/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R162:6 3:6
  • 16/09/26WFederico Cina#136Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 6:1

Ozan Baris

Elo over the last year

James Kent TrotterOzan Baris

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. TrotterO. Baris
Hard court23–2251%10–953%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

J. Trotter 2–1 O. Baris

  • 26/10/26Winner: J. Trotter7:6 6:7 7:5
  • 29/06/26Winner: O. Baris6:7 2:6
  • 28/07/24Winner: J. Trotter6:1 6:4

Road through the tournament

James Kent Trotter

Ozan Baris