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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Chidekh vs Kozlov: prediction and tips

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Clement ChidekhATP #131Elo 1881hard 1874
-:-
Stefan KozlovATP #271Elo 1648hard 1635

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.559%

Where the number comes from: market alone 56% → with the players' profiles 59%

Chidekh: 8 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.570%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Chidekh: 11 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Match Winner: Chidekh80%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 80%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Chidekh won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.536%

Where the number comes from: market alone 32% → with the players' profiles 36%

Chidekh: 4 matches in a row under 18.5 games; Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Chidekh 11 of 20, Kozlov 6 of 20 (tour average 29%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Clement Chidekh80%
Stefan Kozlov20%

Elo: C. Chidekh 80% · S. Kozlov 20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Chidekh59%
2:1 C. Chidekh21%
2:1 S. Kozlov9%
2:0 S. Kozlov11%

First set

Clement Chidekh74%
Stefan Kozlov26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%79%
18.564%36%71%
19.555%45%62%
20.547%53%54%
21.541%59%49%
22.535%65%42%
23.532%69%37%

Sample: 3,053 matches

Games handicap

C. Chidekh −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. ChidekhTourS. Kozlov
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won42%38%42%
Service games held79%76%74%
Breaks of serve31%24%31%
Aces per service game0.290.24
Double faults per game0.250.30
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won14/236/15
Wins in straight sets71%56%
Matches in the sample7360

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Clement Chidekh

Stefan Kozlov

Elo over the last year

Clement ChidekhStefan Kozlov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. ChidekhS. Kozlov
Hard court41–1771%24–1956%
Clay1–325%7–654%
Grass6–555%3–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Clement Chidekh

Stefan Kozlov

Upcoming matches

See also