Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Houkes vs Gentzsch: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Max Houkes24%
Tom Gentzsch76%
Elo: M. Houkes 24% · T. Gentzsch 76%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Houkes14%
2:1 M. Houkes11%
2:1 T. Gentzsch22%
2:0 T. Gentzsch54%
First set
Max Houkes30%
Tom Gentzsch70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,803 matches
Games handicap
T. Gentzsch −4.546%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes32%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Houkes | Tour | T. Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/15 | 16/33 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 72 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Max Houkes
- 02/11/26LMichael Vrbensky#687Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q24:6 4:6
- 01/11/26WDominik MacejChallenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:3 4:6 6:1
- 22/10/26LMichele Ribecai#284Challenger Florence · R166:3 3:6 0:6
- 19/10/26WFranco Agamenone#364Challenger Florence · R327:6 5:7 6:1
- 13/08/26LJan Kumstat#194Challenger Hamburg · R164:6 6:7
- 11/08/26WSumit Nagal#265Challenger Hamburg · R327:5 6:2
- 06/08/26LJerome Kym#164Challenger Hagen · R163:6 6:7
- 04/08/26WVilius Gaubas#147Challenger Hagen · R322:6 6:4 6:4
- 28/07/26LRoberto Carballes Baena#263Challenger Bonn · R324:6 6:3 2:6
- 17/07/26LTom Gentzsch#165Challenger Bunschoten · QF6:3 6:7 4:6
Tom Gentzsch
- 05/11/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Bratislava 2 · R165:7 4:6
- 04/11/26WMartin Damm Jr#102Challenger Bratislava 2 · R326:3 7:6
- 17/10/26LAziz Dougaz#380ATP Brussels · Q14:6 6:2 6:7
- 16/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#88Challenger Olbia · QF0:6 3:6
- 15/10/26WGeorgii Kravchenko#310Challenger Olbia · R166:3 3:6 6:4
- 13/10/26WNiels Visker#418Challenger Olbia · R324:6 6:3 6:4
- 24/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#306Challenger Genoa 2 · R163:6 7:5 5:7
- 22/09/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#309Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:4 7:6
- 18/09/26LLuka Mikrut#251Challenger Szczecin · QF3:6 6:4 3:6
- 16/09/26WMartin Krumich#302Challenger Szczecin · R166:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Max HoukesTom Gentzsch
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Houkes | T. Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–340% | 15–1354% |
| Clay | 15–1550% | 26–1367% |
| Grass | 0–20% | 2–340% |
Head to head
M. Houkes 0–1 T. Gentzsch
- 17/07/26Winner: T. Gentzsch6:3 6:7 4:6
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