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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Sun vs Harris: prediction and tips

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Fajing SunATP #297Elo 1618hard 1614
-:-
Billy HarrisATP #227Elo 1691hard 1662

Our tips

Tip in 9h 5m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Fajing Sun38%
Billy Harris62%

Elo: F. Sun 43% · B. Harris 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Sun22%
2:1 F. Sun16%
2:1 B. Harris22%
2:0 B. Harris40%

First set

Fajing Sun41%
Billy Harris59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 6,030 matches

Games handicap

B. Harris −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. SunTourB. Harris
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve24%24%20%
Aces per service game0.330.45
Double faults per game0.140.20
Sets with a tie-break15%25%
Tie-breaks won8/2213/36
Wins in straight sets56%52%
Matches in the sample6259

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fajing Sun

  • 10/11/26WShintaro Imai#929Challenger Matsuyama · R327:6 3:6 6:3
  • 29/10/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#271Challenger Ningbo · R167:5 3:6 4:6
  • 27/10/26WHayato Matsuoka#246Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 6:3 7:5
  • 22/10/26LKeegan Smith#189Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:3 4:6 6:7
  • 20/10/26WQian Sun#910Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 6:2
  • 13/10/26LJie Cui#368Challenger Jinan · R323:6 5:7
  • 09/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Wuning 3 · QF3:6 4:6
  • 08/10/26WKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 7:5
  • 06/10/26WAoran WangChallenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 1:0
  • 29/09/26LBernard Tomic#176Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:6 3:6

Billy Harris

Elo over the last year

Fajing SunBilly Harris

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. SunB. Harris
Hard court29–2653%15–2438%
Clay3–350%1–811%
Grass0–10%7–464%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Fajing Sun

Billy Harris

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