Sakamoto vs Samrej: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: R. Sakamoto 79% · K. Samrej 21%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 82% | 18% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 62% | 38% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 52% | 48% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 44% | 56% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 37% | 63% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 32% | 68% | 42% |
Sample: 1,655 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Sakamoto | Tour | K. Samrej | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.68 | 0.52 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.38 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/42 | 8/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 77 | 36 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Rei Sakamoto
- 10/11/26WRenta Tokuda#992Challenger Matsuyama · R326:1 6:2
- 30/10/26LBilly Harris#227Challenger Seoul · QF0:3
- 28/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#156Challenger Seoul · R166:0 6:4
- 26/10/26WKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Almaty · R322:6 4:6
- 18/10/26WGabriel Diallo#166ATP Almaty · Q22:6 6:4 6:4
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#614ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1
- 11/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 09/10/26WAndrey Rublev#23ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 07/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#88ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:5
Kasidit Samrej
- 10/11/26WYuta Shimizu#362Challenger Matsuyama · R327:5 2:6 6:3
- 06/11/26LColeman Wong#84Challenger Taipei · QF5:7 2:6
- 05/11/26WCarl Emil Overbeck#308Challenger Taipei · R166:4 6:3
- 03/11/26WJames McCabe#287Challenger Taipei · R326:3 7:5
- 02/11/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Taipei · Q26:7 6:7
- 01/11/26WKoki Matsuda#484Challenger Taipei · Q16:3 7:6
- 26/10/26LRei Sakamoto#122Challenger Seoul · R323:6 4:6
- 21/10/26LColeman Wong#84Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/10/26WRio Noguchi#233Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 6:1 7:6
- 19/10/26LYaroslav Demin#361Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q24:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Sakamoto | K. Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 39–1967% | 20–1656% |
| Clay | 9–660% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
R. Sakamoto 2–0 K. Samrej
- 26/10/26Winner: R. Sakamoto6:3 6:4
- 18/11/25Winner: R. Sakamoto6:4 7:6
Road through the tournament
Rei Sakamoto
- 10/11/26WRenta Tokuda#992Challenger Matsuyama · R326:1 6:2
Kasidit Samrej
- 10/11/26WYuta Shimizu#362Challenger Matsuyama · R327:5 2:6 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Jay Friend vs Naoya Honda, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Nicolas Mejia vs Max Hans Rehberg, · Challenger Knoxville
- Lautaro Midon vs Miguel Tobon, · Challenger Lima
- Elina Svitolina vs Karolína Muchová, · WTA WTA Tour Finals