Skip to content
Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sakamoto vs Tokuda 2:0: result and our tips

·

Rei SakamotoATP #122Elo 1906hard 1889
2:0final6:1 6:2
Renta TokudaATP #992Elo 1539hard 1533

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 64%

Tokuda: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 34%

Tokuda: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rei Sakamoto87%
Renta Tokuda13%

Elo: R. Sakamoto 89% · R. Tokuda 11%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Sakamoto68%
2:1 R. Sakamoto19%
2:1 R. Tokuda6%
2:0 R. Tokuda7%

First set

Rei Sakamoto79%
Renta Tokuda21%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no75%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%79%
18.564%36%71%
19.555%45%63%
20.546%54%54%
21.540%60%49%
22.534%66%42%
23.528%72%37%

Sample: 1,949 matches

Games handicap

R. Sakamoto −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rei SakamotoRenta Tokuda
10Aces0
0Double faults2
76%First serves in72%
79%First-serve points won44%
44%Second-serve points won39%
6/15Break points converted1/1
6/7Service games held2/8
70%Service points won42%
58%Return points won30%
63Total points won38

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. SakamotoTourR. Tokuda
Service points won66%62%62%
Return points won37%38%38%
Service games held85%76%76%
Breaks of serve21%24%22%
Aces per service game0.680.25
Double faults per game0.190.16
Sets with a tie-break23%20%
Tie-breaks won19/426/10
Wins in straight sets63%50%
Matches in the sample7619

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rei Sakamoto

Renta Tokuda

  • 09/11/26WKeisuke Saitoh#488Challenger Matsuyama · Q27:6 3:6 7:6
  • 08/11/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#537Challenger Matsuyama · Q14:6 7:6 6:1
  • 27/07/26WJoshua Sheehy#768Challenger Vancouver · Q14:6 7:6 7:5
  • 20/07/26LMillen Hurrion#497Challenger Winnipeg · Q25:7 1:6
  • 19/07/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#415Challenger Winnipeg · Q16:7 6:3 6:2
  • 12/07/26LAlexander Rozin#973Challenger Granby · Q15:7 3:6
  • 04/05/26LMark Lajal#161Challenger Wuxi · R326:7 4:6
  • 27/04/26LOgnjen Milic#392Challenger Jiujiang · R323:6 7:6 1:6
  • 20/04/26LMarat Sharipov#228Challenger Gwangju · Q23:6 5:7
  • 19/04/26WWoobin ShinChallenger Gwangju · Q16:2 6:1

Elo over the last year

Rei SakamotoRenta Tokuda

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. SakamotoR. Tokuda
Hard court38–1967%8–1142%
Clay9–660%0–10%
Grass2–250%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Rei Sakamoto

First match in this tournament.

Renta Tokuda

Upcoming matches

See also