Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Saitoh vs Tokuda: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 4mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Keisuke Saitoh58%
Renta Tokuda42%
Elo: K. Saitoh 56% · R. Tokuda 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Saitoh37%
2:1 K. Saitoh21%
2:1 R. Tokuda17%
2:0 R. Tokuda25%
First set
Keisuke Saitoh56%
Renta Tokuda44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 6,072 matches
Games handicap
K. Saitoh −2.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes37%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Saitoh | Tour | R. Tokuda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.28 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/3 | 4/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 9 | 18 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Keisuke Saitoh
- 08/11/26WYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Matsuyama · Q17:5 7:6
- 10/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Wuning 3 · SF2:6 1:6
- 09/10/26WAkira Santillan#332Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:7 6:1 6:4
- 07/10/26WHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:2 6:3
- 06/10/26WDominik Palan#606Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Wuning 3 · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
- 04/10/26WZicong WangChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:0
- 29/09/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:2
- 02/11/25LKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Matsuyama · Q15:7 7:5 4:6
Renta Tokuda
- 08/11/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#541Challenger Matsuyama · Q14:6 7:6 6:1
- 27/07/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Vancouver · Q14:6 7:6 7:5
- 20/07/26LMillen Hurrion#503Challenger Winnipeg · Q25:7 1:6
- 19/07/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Winnipeg · Q16:7 6:3 6:2
- 12/07/26LAlexander Rozin#983Challenger Granby · Q15:7 3:6
- 04/05/26LMark Lajal#167Challenger Wuxi · R326:7 4:6
- 27/04/26LOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Jiujiang · R323:6 7:6 1:6
- 20/04/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Gwangju · Q23:6 5:7
- 19/04/26WWoobin ShinChallenger Gwangju · Q16:2 6:1
- 14/04/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Busan · R326:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Keisuke SaitohRenta Tokuda
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Saitoh | R. Tokuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–278% | 7–1139% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Keisuke Saitoh
- 08/11/26WYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Matsuyama · Q17:5 7:6
Renta Tokuda
- 08/11/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#541Challenger Matsuyama · Q14:6 7:6 6:1
Upcoming matches
- Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Koki Matsuda vs S D Prajwal Dev, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Kosuke Ogura vs Hikaru Shiraishi, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut, · Challenger Monastir
- Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Aziz Dougaz, · Challenger Monastir
- Gonzalo Bueno vs Thiago Seyboth Wild, · Challenger Lima