Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying
Saitoh vs Takahashi: prediction and tips
·
Keisuke SaitohATP #483Elo 1528hard 1526
-:-
Yusuke TakahashiATP #792Elo 1419hard 1410
Our tips
Tip in 8h 12mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Keisuke Saitoh65%
Yusuke Takahashi36%
Elo: K. Saitoh 66% · Y. Takahashi 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Saitoh42%
2:1 K. Saitoh22%
2:1 Y. Takahashi15%
2:0 Y. Takahashi21%
First set
Keisuke Saitoh61%
Yusuke Takahashi40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,744 matches
Games handicap
K. Saitoh −3.546%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes36%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Saitoh | Tour | Y. Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.27 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/2 | 5/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 83% | |
| Matches in the sample | 8 | 30 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Keisuke Saitoh
- 10/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Wuning 3 · SF2:6 1:6
- 09/10/26WAkira Santillan#332Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:7 6:1 6:4
- 07/10/26WHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:2 6:3
- 06/10/26WDominik Palan#606Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Wuning 3 · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
- 04/10/26WZicong WangChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:0
- 29/09/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:2
- 02/11/25LKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Matsuyama · Q15:7 7:5 4:6
- 14/07/25LAndres Martin#359Challenger Granby · Q11:6 5:7
Yusuke Takahashi
- 25/10/26LChristian Langmo#508Challenger Seoul · Q16:3 4:6 5:7
- 05/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:4 3:6 2:6
- 04/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:3 6:3
- 13/09/26LJesse DelaneyChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:7 6:7
- 01/06/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Centurion 2 · R326:7 7:6 0:6
- 28/05/26LEdward Winter#404Challenger Centurion · R166:4 3:6 2:6
- 26/05/26WMert Alkaya#321Challenger Centurion · R326:3 7:6
- 20/05/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R163:6 2:6
- 18/05/26WRyuki Matsuda#646Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R326:4 6:2
- 04/05/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Wuxi · Q27:5 2:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Keisuke SaitohYusuke Takahashi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Saitoh | Y. Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–275% | 11–1838% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 1–150% |
Head to head
K. Saitoh 1–0 Y. Takahashi
- 05/10/26Winner: K. Saitoh4:6 6:3 6:2
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