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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Grenier vs Jacquet: prediction and tips

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Hugo GrenierATP #418Elo 1665hard 1655
-:-
Kyrian JacquetATP #85Elo 1896hard 1880

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.570%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Grenier 16 of 20, Jacquet 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 18.569%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Jacquet: 6 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: Yes30%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A tie-break in recent matches: Grenier 9 of 20, Jacquet 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Hugo Grenier20%
Kyrian Jacquet80%

Elo: H. Grenier 22% · K. Jacquet 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Grenier11%
2:1 H. Grenier9%
2:1 K. Jacquet21%
2:0 K. Jacquet59%

First set

Hugo Grenier26%
Kyrian Jacquet74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%79%
18.569%31%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.545%55%49%
22.539%61%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 3,070 matches

Games handicap

K. Jacquet −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. GrenierTourK. Jacquet
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held72%76%80%
Breaks of serve24%24%25%
Aces per service game0.570.51
Double faults per game0.340.23
Sets with a tie-break19%25%
Tie-breaks won8/1924/37
Wins in straight sets58%68%
Matches in the sample4560

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hugo Grenier

Kyrian Jacquet

Elo over the last year

Hugo GrenierKyrian Jacquet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. GrenierK. Jacquet
Hard court19–2049%23–1364%
Clay0–40%8–657%
Grass0–20%7–370%

Head to head

H. Grenier 0–1 K. Jacquet

  • 10/08/24Winner: K. Jacquet3:6 3:6

Road through the tournament

Hugo Grenier

Kyrian Jacquet

First match in this tournament.

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