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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Grenier vs Krumich 2:1: result and our tips

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Hugo GrenierATP #418Elo 1652hard 1642
2:1final6:4 3:6 6:1
Martin KrumichATP #299Elo 1670hard 1640

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hugo Grenier51%
Martin Krumich49%

Elo: H. Grenier 50% · M. Krumich 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Grenier32%
2:1 H. Grenier20%
2:1 M. Krumich19%
2:0 M. Krumich29%

First set

Hugo Grenier51%
Martin Krumich49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,417 matches

Games handicap

H. Grenier −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Hugo GrenierMartin Krumich
10Aces6
4Double faults1
56%First serves in49%
80%First-serve points won63%
40%Second-serve points won53%
5/9Break points converted3/12
10/13Service games held8/13
63%Service points won58%
42%Return points won38%
83Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. GrenierTourM. Krumich
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held72%76%76%
Breaks of serve23%24%30%
Aces per service game0.560.38
Double faults per game0.340.24
Sets with a tie-break20%11%
Tie-breaks won8/199/19
Wins in straight sets61%61%
Matches in the sample4473

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hugo Grenier

Martin Krumich

Elo over the last year

Hugo GrenierMartin Krumich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. GrenierM. Krumich
Hard court18–2047%9–660%
Clay0–40%34–2459%
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Hugo Grenier

Martin Krumich

Upcoming matches

See also