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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Vandermeersch vs Krumich: prediction and tips

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Cyril VandermeerschATP #486Elo 1424hard 1418
-:-awaiting result
Martin KrumichATP #302Elo 1663hard 1628

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.558%

Where the number comes from: market alone 56% → with the players' profiles 58%

Vandermeersch: 9 matches in a row under 21.5 games; Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Vandermeersch 9 of 10, Krumich 13 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.570%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Vandermeersch: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Vandermeersch 9 of 10, Krumich 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Match Winner: Krumich80%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 80%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Vandermeersch lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.543%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 43%

Vandermeersch: 7 matches in a row under 19.5 games; Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Vandermeersch 7 of 10, Krumich 13 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Cyril Vandermeersch20%
Martin Krumich80%

Elo: C. Vandermeersch 23% · M. Krumich 77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Vandermeersch11%
2:1 C. Vandermeersch9%
2:1 M. Krumich21%
2:0 M. Krumich59%

First set

Cyril Vandermeersch26%
Martin Krumich74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 53%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%79%
18.565%35%71%
19.556%44%62%
20.548%52%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 3,043 matches

Games handicap

M. Krumich −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. VandermeerschTourM. Krumich
Service points won58%62%62%
Return points won36%38%41%
Service games held67%76%76%
Breaks of serve22%24%30%
Aces per service game0.350.38
Double faults per game0.330.24
Sets with a tie-break0%11%
Tie-breaks won0/09/19
Wins in straight sets100%62%
Matches in the sample1172

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Cyril Vandermeersch

  • 21/07/26LPaul Inchauspe#585Challenger Segovia · R321:6 0:3
  • 20/07/26WAziz Ouakaa#515Challenger Segovia · Q26:3 6:1
  • 19/07/26WIliyan Radulov#568Challenger Segovia · Q16:3 6:2
  • 13/07/26LHugo Grenier#394Challenger Pozoblanco · R324:6 1:6
  • 08/03/26LPatrick Brady#677Challenger Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · Q11:6 4:6
  • 22/02/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#498Challenger St. Brieuc · Q10:6 2:6
  • 15/02/26LCalvin Hemery#274Challenger Lille · Q12:6 4:6
  • 08/02/26LGeoffrey Blancaneaux#443Challenger Pau · Q13:6 3:6
  • 05/02/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#309Challenger Cesenatico · R164:6 4:6
  • 03/02/26WRadu Albot#571Challenger Cesenatico · R326:3 7:5

Martin Krumich

Elo over the last year

Cyril VandermeerschMartin Krumich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. VandermeerschM. Krumich
Hard court3–827%8–657%
Clay0–034–2459%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also