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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Katayama vs Imai: prediction and tips

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Sho KatayamaElo 1466hard 1462
-:-
Shintaro ImaiATP #938Elo 1575hard 1570

Our tips

Tip in 7h 54m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Sho Katayama32%
Shintaro Imai68%

Elo: S. Katayama 35% · S. Imai 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Katayama18%
2:1 S. Katayama14%
2:1 S. Imai22%
2:0 S. Imai45%

First set

Sho Katayama37%
Shintaro Imai63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,214 matches

Games handicap

S. Imai −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. KatayamaTourS. Imai
Service points won—62%61%
Return points won—38%41%
Service games held—76%75%
Breaks of serve—24%29%
Aces per service game—0.58
Double faults per game—0.26
Sets with a tie-break—14%
Tie-breaks won—1/2
Wins in straight sets—75%
Matches in the sample—6

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sho Katayama

Shintaro Imai

  • 08/11/26WConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#498Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:2 6:2
  • 27/10/26LYun Seong Chung#622Challenger Seoul · R324:6 3:6
  • 26/10/26WUisung Park#754Challenger Seoul · Q26:4 7:6
  • 25/10/26WKokoro Isomura#722Challenger Seoul · Q16:2 2:6 6:3
  • 05/01/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Nonthaburi · Q26:3 6:7 1:6
  • 04/01/26WMaxim Zhukov#821Challenger Nonthaburi · Q16:4 6:4
  • 02/08/25LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#182Challenger Astana · SF3:6 5:7
  • 01/08/25WAleksandre BakshiChallenger Astana · QF2:6 6:4 6:4
  • 30/07/25WEdward Winter#404Challenger Astana · R167:6 6:3
  • 29/07/25WAmir Omarkhanov#632Challenger Astana · R326:2 7:6

Elo over the last year

Sho KatayamaShintaro Imai

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. KatayamaS. Imai
Hard court1–0100%4–267%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sho Katayama

Shintaro Imai

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