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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Tsitsipas vs Cretu: prediction and tips

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Pavlos TsitsipasATP #994Elo 1296hard 1308
-:-
Cezar CretuATP #269Elo 1677hard 1509

Our tips

Tip in 1d 12h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Pavlos Tsitsipas8%
Cezar Cretu92%

Elo: P. Tsitsipas 24% · C. Cretu 76%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Tsitsipas5%
2:1 P. Tsitsipas4%
2:1 C. Cretu17%
2:0 C. Cretu74%

First set

Pavlos Tsitsipas17%
Cezar Cretu83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.577%23%94%
16.566%34%88%
17.556%44%80%
18.547%53%71%
19.539%62%63%
20.533%67%54%
21.527%73%49%

Sample: 1,461 matches

Games handicap

C. Cretu −5.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. TsitsipasTourC. Cretu
Service points won58%62%59%
Return points won36%38%43%
Service games held68%76%69%
Breaks of serve19%24%35%
Aces per service game0.350.21
Double faults per game0.370.21
Sets with a tie-break29%8%
Tie-breaks won2/56/8
Wins in straight sets0%85%
Matches in the sample748

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pavlos Tsitsipas

  • 21/09/26LNikita Mashtakov#452Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q23:6 1:6
  • 20/09/26WTiago Pereira#318Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:7 7:5 7:6
  • 13/09/26LRobert Strombachs#352Challenger Szczecin · Q17:6 6:7 1:6
  • 04/05/26LRafael Tosetto#817Challenger Santos · Q16:4 1:6 3:6
  • 09/03/26LPaul Jubb#362Challenger Hersonissos 2 · R326:7 3:6
  • 03/03/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Hersonissos · R324:6 2:6
  • 25/11/25LAlberto Barroso Campos#712Challenger Athens · R321:6 3:6
  • 01/11/25LShintaro Mochizuki#125ATP Athens · Q11:6 2:6
  • 07/10/25LNiels Visker#418Challenger Hersonissos 5 · R320:1
  • 25/08/25LStuart ParkerChallenger Manacor · Q12:6 1:6

Cezar Cretu

  • 12/10/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#211Challenger Olbia · R322:6 1:6
  • 29/09/26LHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Porto 2 · R325:7 3:6
  • 07/09/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Istanbul 3 · R322:6 4:6
  • 29/08/26WFacundo Mena#196Challenger Augsburg · F6:2 6:0
  • 28/08/26WSandro Kopp#294Challenger Augsburg · SF6:3 7:5
  • 27/08/26WMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Augsburg · QF6:4 6:3
  • 26/08/26WMiguel Damas#346Challenger Augsburg · R167:6 7:6
  • 25/08/26WNiels McDonald#477Challenger Augsburg · R326:2 6:0
  • 19/08/26LMaxim Mrva#231Challenger Prague · R161:6 2:6
  • 17/08/26WThomas Faurel#298Challenger Prague · R322:6 6:2 6:4

Elo over the last year

Pavlos TsitsipasCezar Cretu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. TsitsipasC. Cretu
Hard court0–30%0–30%
Clay1–325%27–1860%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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