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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Nijboer vs Misolic: prediction and tips

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Ryan NijboerATP #384Elo 1569clay 1574
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Filip MisolicATP #676Elo 1708clay 1759

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Misolic75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Misolic won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Ryan Nijboer25%
Filip Misolic75%

Elo: R. Nijboer 26% · F. Misolic 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Nijboer14%
2:1 R. Nijboer12%
2:1 F. Misolic22%
2:0 F. Misolic51%

First set

Ryan Nijboer32%
Filip Misolic68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.545%55%46%
22.539%61%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,248 matches

Games handicap

F. Misolic −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. NijboerTourF. Misolic
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held78%76%72%
Breaks of serve28%24%28%
Aces per service game0.340.36
Double faults per game0.270.29
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won4/93/7
Wins in straight sets55%75%
Matches in the sample3426

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ryan Nijboer

Filip Misolic

Elo over the last year

Ryan NijboerFilip Misolic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. NijboerF. Misolic
Hard court0–10%1–614%
Clay20–1361%11–858%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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