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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Marcondes vs Tabata: prediction and tips

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Igor MarcondesATP #279Elo 1742clay 1745
-:-
Ryo TabataATP #934Elo 1529clay 1576

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Igor Marcondes80%
Ryo Tabata20%

Elo: I. Marcondes 73% · R. Tabata 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Marcondes58%
2:1 I. Marcondes22%
2:1 R. Tabata10%
2:0 R. Tabata11%

First set

Igor Marcondes73%
Ryo Tabata27%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 54%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.554%46%59%
20.547%53%52%
21.542%58%46%
22.536%64%40%
23.533%67%36%

Sample: 2,480 matches

Games handicap

I. Marcondes −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. MarcondesTourR. Tabata
Service points won64%62%59%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held79%76%71%
Breaks of serve26%24%25%
Aces per service game0.390.20
Double faults per game0.210.20
Sets with a tie-break18%13%
Tie-breaks won11/224/6
Wins in straight sets65%38%
Matches in the sample5418

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Igor Marcondes

Ryo Tabata

Elo over the last year

Igor MarcondesRyo Tabata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. MarcondesR. Tabata
Hard court13–765%2–722%
Clay21–1264%6–367%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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