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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Barrientos vs Magadan: prediction and tips

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Nicolas BarrientosATP #913Elo 1525clay 1536
-:-
Alan MagadanATP #496Elo 1550clay 1524

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Nicolas Barrientos41%
Alan Magadan59%

Elo: N. Barrientos 52% · A. Magadan 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Barrientos23%
2:1 N. Barrientos17%
2:1 A. Magadan21%
2:0 A. Magadan38%

First set

Nicolas Barrientos42%
Alan Magadan58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,966 matches

Games handicap

A. Magadan −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. BarrientosTourA. Magadan
Service points won59%62%61%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held70%76%74%
Breaks of serve30%24%26%
Aces per service game0.310.38
Double faults per game0.410.29
Sets with a tie-break10%14%
Tie-breaks won2/38/13
Wins in straight sets75%55%
Matches in the sample1540

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nicolas Barrientos

  • 05/10/26LJavier Barranco Cosano#615Challenger Braga · Q23:6 0:1
  • 04/10/26WSergi Perez Contri#431Challenger Braga · Q17:6 1:6 6:4
  • 30/08/26LEduardo Ribeiro#360Challenger Porto · Q12:6 2:6
  • 22/06/26LDenis Yevseyev#474Challenger Targu Mures · Q24:6 5:7
  • 21/06/26WStefan Adrian Andreescu#670Challenger Targu Mures · Q16:4 6:3
  • 28/04/26LLuca Potenza#566Challenger Cagliari · Q24:6
  • 27/04/26WFabrizio Andaloro#778Challenger Cagliari · Q17:6 6:2
  • 22/03/26LChristoph Negritu#753Challenger Montemar · Q11:6 6:7
  • 28/11/25LJuan Pablo Ficovich#370Challenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · QF2:6 2:6
  • 26/11/25WAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R166:3 6:4

Alan Magadan

  • 03/11/26LValerio Aboian#258Challenger Villa Maria · R326:4 1:6 1:6
  • 28/10/26LCarlos Maria Zarate#341Challenger Guayaquil · R325:7 1:6
  • 27/10/26WTristan McCormick#635Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:3 6:2
  • 25/10/26WMario Andre GalarragaChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:3 6:4
  • 19/10/26LDaniel Salazar Martinez#649Challenger Cali · Q23:6 1:6
  • 18/10/26WJuan Miguel Bolivar IdarragaChallenger Cali · Q16:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#551Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 4:6
  • 04/10/26WNicolas Bruna#997Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 7:6
  • 20/08/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Cancun · R164:6 6:1 6:7
  • 20/08/26WAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Cancun · R324:6 6:0 6:4

Elo over the last year

Nicolas BarrientosAlan Magadan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. BarrientosA. Magadan
Hard court0–09–950%
Clay8–753%11–1150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also