Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying
De la Fuente vs Tabata 1:2: result and our tips
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1:2final2:6 7:5 2:6
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Santiago De la Fuente53%
Ryo Tabata47%
Elo: S. De la Fuente 38% · R. Tabata 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. De la Fuente34%
2:1 S. De la Fuente20%
2:1 R. Tabata19%
2:0 R. Tabata28%
First set
Santiago De la Fuente53%
Ryo Tabata47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,519 matches
Games handicap
S. De la Fuente −1.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes21%
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 20.5in · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Santiago De la Fuente | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 1 |
| 3 | Double faults | 1 |
| 70% | First serves in | 69% |
| 55% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 41% | Second-serve points won | 59% |
| 4/12 | Break points converted | 7/13 |
| 7/14 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 51% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 49% |
| 83 | Total points won | 98 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. De la Fuente | Tour | R. Tabata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 63% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.11 | 0.20 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/9 | 4/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 32 | 15 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Santiago De la Fuente
- 01/11/26WFaustino BoffelliChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:3 6:3
- 12/10/26LArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#755Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q26:7 1:6
- 11/10/26WPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#429Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q17:6 6:2
- 04/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Antofagasta · Q11:6 7:6 0:6
- 28/09/26LPedro Sakamoto#447Challenger Curitiba · Q26:2 2:6 6:7
- 27/09/26WBoris AriasChallenger Curitiba · Q17:6 6:3
- 20/09/26LMatias Franco DescotteChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q15:7 1:6
- 17/06/26LMatias Soto#260Challenger Asuncion 2 · R162:6 6:2 5:7
- 16/06/26WPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#429Challenger Asuncion 2 · R323:6 6:3 7:6
- 09/06/26LEduardo Ribeiro#360Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · R323:6 5:7
Ryo Tabata
- 01/11/26WRocco ValenteChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:2 3:6 6:3
- 20/09/26LSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:7 1:6
- 17/06/26LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Royan · R162:6 2:6
- 16/06/26WYanki Erel#299Challenger Royan · R326:7 6:3 7:6
- 15/06/26WLorenzo Angelini#531Challenger Royan · Q26:0 7:5
- 14/06/26WRobinson Le MeurChallenger Royan · Q16:1 1:6 6:1
- 12/04/26LYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Wuning 2 · Q12:6 1:6
- 05/04/26LUisung Park#754Challenger Wuning · Q17:6 2:6 4:6
- 29/03/26LTai Leonard Sach#514Challenger Miyazaki · Q15:7 7:6 4:6
- 22/03/26LAlec Deckers#573Challenger Yokkaichi · Q16:3 1:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Santiago De la FuenteRyo Tabata
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. De la Fuente | R. Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 2–722% |
| Clay | 13–1941% | 4–267% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Santiago De la Fuente
- 01/11/26WFaustino BoffelliChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:3 6:3
Ryo Tabata
- 01/11/26WRocco ValenteChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:2 3:6 6:3