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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Valente vs Tabata 1:2: result and our tips

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Rocco ValenteElo 1500clay 1500
1:2final2:6 6:3 3:6
Ryo TabataATP #934Elo 1441clay 1506

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rocco Valente23%
Ryo Tabata77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Valente12%
2:1 R. Valente11%
2:1 R. Tabata22%
2:0 R. Tabata54%

First set

Rocco Valente30%
Ryo Tabata70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 58%market (no margin): 53%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.539%61%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,855 matches

Games handicap

R. Tabata −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Rocco ValenteRyo Tabata
5Aces1
2Double faults1
69%First serves in78%
60%First-serve points won65%
48%Second-serve points won50%
2/8Break points converted4/7
9/13Service games held11/13
57%Service points won61%
39%Return points won43%
94Total points won103

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. ValenteTourR. Tabata
Service points won—62%59%
Return points won—38%38%
Service games held—76%69%
Breaks of serve—24%23%
Aces per service game—0.20
Double faults per game—0.22
Sets with a tie-break—17%
Tie-breaks won—4/6
Wins in straight sets—60%
Matches in the sample—15

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rocco Valente

No matches on record.

Ryo Tabata

  • 20/09/26LSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:7 1:6
  • 17/06/26LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Royan · R162:6 2:6
  • 16/06/26WYanki Erel#299Challenger Royan · R326:7 6:3 7:6
  • 15/06/26WLorenzo Angelini#531Challenger Royan · Q26:0 7:5
  • 14/06/26WRobinson Le MeurChallenger Royan · Q16:1 1:6 6:1
  • 12/04/26LYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Wuning 2 · Q12:6 1:6
  • 05/04/26LUisung Park#754Challenger Wuning · Q17:6 2:6 4:6
  • 29/03/26LTai Leonard Sach#514Challenger Miyazaki · Q15:7 7:6 4:6
  • 22/03/26LAlec Deckers#573Challenger Yokkaichi · Q16:3 1:6 3:6
  • 09/02/26LNaoki Nakagawa#663Challenger Brisbane 2 · Q21:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Rocco ValenteRyo Tabata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. ValenteR. Tabata
Hard court0–02–820%
Clay0–03–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.