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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Miguel vs Marcondes 0:2: result and our tips

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Luis Felipe MiguelElo 1567clay 1572
0:2final5:7 3:6
Igor MarcondesATP #279Elo 1746clay 1747

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Luis Felipe Miguel30%
Igor Marcondes70%

Elo: L. Miguel 27% · I. Marcondes 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Miguel16%
2:1 L. Miguel14%
2:1 I. Marcondes23%
2:0 I. Marcondes47%

First set

Luis Felipe Miguel35%
Igor Marcondes65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,915 matches

Games handicap

I. Marcondes −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Luis Felipe MiguelIgor Marcondes
2Aces1
3Double faults1
62%First serves in65%
54%First-serve points won63%
52%Second-serve points won73%
2/6Break points converted4/6
6/10Service games held9/11
53%Service points won67%
33%Return points won47%
53Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. MiguelTourI. Marcondes
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won42%38%40%
Service games held73%76%79%
Breaks of serve33%24%26%
Aces per service game0.280.40
Double faults per game0.230.21
Sets with a tie-break10%18%
Tie-breaks won0/211/22
Wins in straight sets40%64%
Matches in the sample852

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luis Felipe Miguel

Igor Marcondes

Elo over the last year

Luis Felipe MiguelIgor Marcondes

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. MiguelI. Marcondes
Hard court0–013–765%
Clay5–363%20–1165%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Luis Felipe Miguel

Igor Marcondes

First match in this tournament.

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