Misolic vs Varillas 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Varillas: 5 matches in a row under 23.5 games
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Varillas: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set
- Match Winner: MisolicWon65%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Misolic won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 45%
Misolic: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Misolic 57% · J. Varillas 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,921 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.0out · 30 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Filip Misolic | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 2 |
| 3 | Double faults | 3 |
| 57% | First serves in | 55% |
| 88% | First-serve points won | 69% |
| 54% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 4/9 | Break points converted | 0/1 |
| 14/14 | Service games held | 11/15 |
| 73% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 27% |
| 100 | Total points won | 83 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Misolic | Tour | J. Varillas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.34 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/5 | 13/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 24 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Filip Misolic
- 02/11/26WMateus Alves#413Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Q26:1 7:6
- 01/11/26WMarcelo ZormannChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q13:2
- 26/10/26LAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Guayaquil · Q24:6 4:6
- 25/10/26WMartin BaqueroChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:0 6:1
- 23/10/26LMichele Ribecai#284Challenger Florence · QF2:6 1:6
- 22/10/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Florence · R164:6 6:3 6:3
- 20/10/26WFelix Gill#228Challenger Florence · R327:6 6:1
- 19/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#500Challenger Florence · Q26:3 6:1
- 18/10/26WDominik Recek#950Challenger Florence · Q16:2 6:2
- 05/10/26LPatrick Schoen#342Challenger Braga · Q21:6 2:6
Juan Pablo Varillas
- 27/10/26LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#255Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 3:6
- 21/10/26LGustavo Heide#112Challenger Cali · R165:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Cali · R326:3 6:3
- 06/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 1:6
- 25/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF2:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WMurkel Dellien#450Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 7:5 6:4
- 22/09/26WTomas Farjat#775Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 6:2 7:6
- 11/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Genoa · QF1:6 6:7
- 10/09/26WFrancesco Passaro#153Challenger Genoa · R167:5 6:1
- 08/09/26WFederico Arnaboldi#473Challenger Genoa · R325:7 7:5 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Misolic | J. Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–614% | 0–10% |
| Clay | 10–759% | 40–2760% |
Head to head
F. Misolic 1–0 J. Varillas
- 21/10/23Winner: F. Misolic6:3 6:2
Road through the tournament
Filip Misolic
- 01/11/26WMarcelo ZormannChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q13:2
- 02/11/26WMateus Alves#413Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Q26:1 7:6
Juan Pablo Varillas
First match in this tournament.
Upcoming matches
- Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe
- Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios Vera, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe
- Igor Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe
- Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe
- Elena Rybakina vs Linda Nosková, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula, · WTA WTA Tour Finals