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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Alves vs Misolic 0:2: result and our tips

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Mateus AlvesATP #413Elo 1490clay 1509
0:2final1:6 6:7(5)
Filip MisolicATP #676Elo 1693clay 1748

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 60%

Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Alves 13 of 20, Misolic 13 of 18 (tour average 60%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won48%

Where the number comes from: market alone 45% → with the players' profiles 48%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Alves 12 of 20, Misolic 11 of 18 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mateus Alves29%
Filip Misolic72%

Elo: M. Alves 20% · F. Misolic 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Alves16%
2:1 M. Alves14%
2:1 F. Misolic23%
2:0 F. Misolic48%

First set

Mateus Alves34%
Filip Misolic66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%46%
22.541%59%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,739 matches

Games handicap

F. Misolic −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Mateus AlvesFilip Misolic
5Aces8
3Double faults5
63%First serves in44%
58%First-serve points won77%
50%Second-serve points won70%
0/1Break points converted2/4
7/9Service games held10/10
55%Service points won73%
27%Return points won45%
49Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. AlvesTourF. Misolic
Service points won60%62%58%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held72%76%69%
Breaks of serve20%24%30%
Aces per service game0.430.32
Double faults per game0.310.29
Sets with a tie-break7%8%
Tie-breaks won2/42/4
Wins in straight sets67%80%
Matches in the sample2523

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mateus Alves

  • 19/10/26LJose Pereira#739Challenger Cali · Q23:6 1:6
  • 18/10/26WBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Cali · Q16:4 6:3
  • 14/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R323:6 6:7
  • 12/10/26WBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q26:1 3:6 6:3
  • 05/10/26LJose Pereira#739Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 3:6
  • 04/10/26WBautista de la PenaChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:2 6:1
  • 01/10/26LGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Curitiba · R162:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26WJose Pereira#739Challenger Curitiba · R326:2 1:6 6:4
  • 13/07/26LJan Kumstat#194Challenger Bunschoten · Q23:6 3:6
  • 12/07/26WFons van Sambeek#967Challenger Bunschoten · Q17:6 6:1

Filip Misolic

  • 01/11/26WMarcelo ZormannChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q13:2
  • 26/10/26LAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Guayaquil · Q24:6 4:6
  • 25/10/26WMartin BaqueroChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:0 6:1
  • 23/10/26LMichele Ribecai#284Challenger Florence · QF2:6 1:6
  • 22/10/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Florence · R164:6 6:3 6:3
  • 20/10/26WFelix Gill#228Challenger Florence · R327:6 6:1
  • 19/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#500Challenger Florence · Q26:3 6:1
  • 18/10/26WDominik Recek#950Challenger Florence · Q16:2 6:2
  • 05/10/26LPatrick Schoen#342Challenger Braga · Q21:6 2:6
  • 04/10/26WTiago EsculcasChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0

Elo over the last year

Mateus AlvesFilip Misolic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. AlvesF. Misolic
Hard court1–233%1–614%
Clay8–1436%9–756%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mateus Alves

First match in this tournament.

Filip Misolic

Upcoming matches