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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Meligeni Alves vs Jarry: prediction and tips

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Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #348Elo 1689clay 1707
-:-
Nicolas JarryATP #785Elo 1762clay 1769

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Felipe Meligeni Alves50%
Nicolas Jarry50%

Elo: F. Meligeni Alves 41% · N. Jarry 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Meligeni Alves30%
2:1 F. Meligeni Alves19%
2:1 N. Jarry19%
2:0 N. Jarry31%

First set

Felipe Meligeni Alves50%
Nicolas Jarry50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%68%
19.566%34%59%
20.558%43%52%
21.552%49%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,375 matches

Games handicap

N. Jarry −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. Meligeni AlvesTourN. Jarry
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held77%76%78%
Breaks of serve26%24%20%
Aces per service game0.320.57
Double faults per game0.150.18
Sets with a tie-break12%29%
Tie-breaks won6/113/10
Wins in straight sets71%40%
Matches in the sample4115

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Nicolas Jarry

Elo over the last year

Felipe Meligeni AlvesNicolas Jarry

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. Meligeni AlvesN. Jarry
Hard court2–340%0–50%
Clay19–1654%5–550%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

F. Meligeni Alves 1–1 N. Jarry

  • 11/02/23Winner: F. Meligeni Alves7:6 6:4
  • 15/04/22Winner: N. Jarry6:4 4:6 5:7

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