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Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Alkaya vs Coulibaly: prediction and tips

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Mert AlkayaATP #321Elo 1571hard 1571
-:-
Eliakim CoulibalyATP #339Elo 1601hard 1594

Our tips

Tip in 1d 16h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Mert Alkaya32%
Eliakim Coulibaly68%

Elo: M. Alkaya 47% · E. Coulibaly 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Alkaya19%
2:1 M. Alkaya14%
2:1 E. Coulibaly22%
2:0 E. Coulibaly45%

First set

Mert Alkaya37%
Eliakim Coulibaly63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,315 matches

Games handicap

E. Coulibaly −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. AlkayaTourE. Coulibaly
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held78%76%79%
Breaks of serve25%24%25%
Aces per service game0.580.53
Double faults per game0.230.31
Sets with a tie-break14%8%
Tie-breaks won4/133/5
Wins in straight sets65%71%
Matches in the sample4028

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mert Alkaya

  • 30/10/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#304Challenger Ningbo · QF3:6 3:6
  • 28/10/26WHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Ningbo · R166:3 3:6 6:4
  • 26/10/26WRigele TE#740Challenger Ningbo · R327:6 6:4
  • 19/10/26LAndre Ilagan#200Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 6:3 1:6
  • 10/09/26LMax Basing#259Challenger Istanbul 3 · R164:6 5:7
  • 08/09/26WTiago Torres#378Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:2
  • 14/08/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#411Challenger Astana · QF6:7 3:6
  • 12/08/26WBeibit Zhukayev#522Challenger Astana · R166:3 6:4
  • 11/08/26WSidharth Rawat#644Challenger Astana · R326:2 6:4
  • 06/08/26LKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Istanbul 2 · R163:6 2:6

Eliakim Coulibaly

  • 27/09/26LChristian Langmo#508Challenger Porto 2 · Q15:7 6:4 4:6
  • 21/09/26LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Rennes · R324:6 4:6
  • 03/07/26LCalvin Hemery#274Challenger Troyes · QF2:1
  • 02/07/26WAlexander Vasilev#611Challenger Troyes · R166:4 6:2
  • 30/06/26WPavel Lagutin#389Challenger Troyes · R325:7 6:3 6:2
  • 16/06/26LFelix Balshaw#180Challenger Royan · R321:6 6:3 1:6
  • 05/06/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Centurion 2 · QF5:7 4:6
  • 03/06/26WDevin BadenhorstChallenger Centurion 2 · R166:7 6:3 6:2
  • 02/06/26WFilip Peliwo#600Challenger Centurion 2 · R326:3 6:1

Elo over the last year

Mert AlkayaEliakim Coulibaly

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. AlkayaE. Coulibaly
Hard court18–1751%10–856%
Clay1–233%4–640%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

M. Alkaya 1–0 E. Coulibaly

  • 29/10/25Winner: M. Alkaya6:1 1:6 6:2

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