Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Kelm vs Vives Marcos: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 16h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Yannik Kelm22%
Pedro Vives Marcos78%
Elo: Y. Kelm 22% · P. Vives Marcos 78%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 Y. Kelm16%
2:1 Y. Kelm11%
2:1 P. Vives Marcos20%
2:0 P. Vives Marcos52%
First set
Yannik Kelm33%
Pedro Vives Marcos67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%
Total games
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 8,366 matches
Games handicap
P. Vives Marcos −4.545%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes28%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Kelm | Tour | P. Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 6% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/1 | 4/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 6 | 18 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yannik Kelm
- 02/11/26LLucas Poullain#327Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q22:6 3:6
- 01/11/26WOleg Prihodko#446Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q11:6 6:3 7:6
- 25/10/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Brest · Q16:3 3:6 5:7
- 26/04/26LGiuseppe La Vela#536Challenger Shymkent 2 · Q13:6 7:5 2:6
- 19/04/26LErgi Kirkin#572Challenger Shymkent · Q14:6 5:7
- 01/02/26LAlec Deckers#573Challenger Koblenz · Q14:6 6:1 2:6
- 19/05/24LYurii Dzhavakian#750Challenger Augsburg · Q14:6 1:6
- 13/04/24LFrancesco Passaro#153ATP Munich · Q13:6 2:6
Pedro Vives Marcos
- 08/11/26WAdam NagoudiChallenger Monastir · Q16:2 6:2
- 15/10/26LMax Wiskandt#382Challenger Catania · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WMarco Cecchinato#183Challenger Catania · R326:4 6:4
- 12/10/26WSebastian Gima#513Challenger Catania · Q27:6 6:2
- 11/10/26WRadu David Turcanu#653Challenger Catania · Q16:2 6:2
- 06/10/26LBuvaysar Gadamauri#266Challenger Palermo · R325:7 5:7
- 04/10/26WSebastiano CocolaChallenger Palermo · Q16:1 6:1
- 07/09/26LCarlos Sanchez Jover#331Challenger Seville · Q26:2 6:7 3:6
- 06/09/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#621Challenger Seville · Q16:3 7:5
- 05/09/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Porto · SF4:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Yannik KelmPedro Vives Marcos
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Kelm | P. Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–325% | 1–233% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 10–567% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Yannik Kelm
First match in this tournament.
Pedro Vives Marcos
- 08/11/26WAdam NagoudiChallenger Monastir · Q16:2 6:2
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