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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Prihodko vs Kelm 1:2: result and our tips

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Oleg PrihodkoATP #446Elo 1541hard 1583
1:2final6:1 3:6 6:7(4)
Yannik KelmATP #440Elo 1274hard 1335

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kelm: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oleg Prihodko54%
Yannik Kelm46%

Elo: O. Prihodko 81% · Y. Kelm 19%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Prihodko35%
2:1 O. Prihodko20%
2:1 Y. Kelm18%
2:0 Y. Kelm27%

First set

Oleg Prihodko54%
Yannik Kelm46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,611 matches

Games handicap

O. Prihodko −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Oleg PrihodkoYannik Kelm
4Aces3
3Double faults2
71%First serves in69%
69%First-serve points won61%
40%Second-serve points won55%
4/13Break points converted3/11
11/14Service games held10/14
61%Service points won59%
41%Return points won39%
105Total points won102

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. PrihodkoTourY. Kelm
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held75%76%73%
Breaks of serve22%24%21%
Aces per service game0.490.28
Double faults per game0.230.26
Sets with a tie-break15%0%
Tie-breaks won7/100/0
Wins in straight sets57%—
Matches in the sample294

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oleg Prihodko

  • 11/10/26LPatrick Brady#677Challenger Roanne · Q11:6 2:6
  • 22/09/26LAdrian Andreev#631Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R321:6 4:6
  • 07/09/26LDaniel Siniakov#500Challenger Tulln · Q22:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26WIvan Gakhov#520Challenger Tulln · Q14:6 6:3 6:2
  • 01/09/26LMaxim Mrva#231Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R325:7 7:6 1:6
  • 14/07/26LMatyas Fuele#640Challenger Cordenons · R326:4 2:6 5:7
  • 13/07/26WGabriele Crivellaro#966Challenger Cordenons · Q16:4 6:1
  • 12/07/26WAlessio BalestrieriChallenger Cordenons · Q16:1 6:3
  • 07/07/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Trieste · R324:6 4:6
  • 06/07/26WGiovanni Oradini#674Challenger Trieste · Q26:4 3:6 7:5

Yannik Kelm

  • 25/10/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Brest · Q16:3 3:6 5:7
  • 26/04/26LGiuseppe La Vela#536Challenger Shymkent 2 · Q13:6 7:5 2:6
  • 19/04/26LErgi Kirkin#572Challenger Shymkent · Q14:6 5:7
  • 01/02/26LAlec Deckers#573Challenger Koblenz · Q14:6 6:1 2:6
  • 19/05/24LYurii Dzhavakian#750Challenger Augsburg · Q14:6 1:6
  • 13/04/24LFrancesco Passaro#153ATP Munich · Q13:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Oleg PrihodkoYannik Kelm

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. PrihodkoY. Kelm
Hard court8–562%0–20%
Clay6–1038%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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