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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Meligeni Alves 2:0: result and our tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #110Elo 1872clay 1883
2:0final6:2 6:3
Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #348Elo 1696clay 1715

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Meligeni Alves: 16 matches in a row without a tie-break; No tie-break in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 16 of 20, Meligeni Alves 17 of 20 (tour average 73%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Seyboth WildWon74%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 74%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Seyboth Wild won 9 of the last 10 matches; Seyboth Wild: 5 wins in a row

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 17 of 20, Meligeni Alves 15 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 13 of 20, Meligeni Alves 14 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild74%
Felipe Meligeni Alves26%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 73% · F. Meligeni Alves 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild51%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild23%
2:1 F. Meligeni Alves13%
2:0 F. Meligeni Alves14%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild68%
Felipe Meligeni Alves32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.537%63%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,348 matches

Games handicap

T. Seyboth Wild −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Thiago Seyboth WildFelipe Meligeni Alves
6Aces5
1Double faults1
77%First serves in77%
86%First-serve points won60%
55%Second-serve points won64%
3/6Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held5/8
79%Service points won60%
40%Return points won21%
56Total points won39

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourF. Meligeni Alves
Service points won66%62%62%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held84%76%77%
Breaks of serve30%24%27%
Aces per service game0.530.32
Double faults per game0.200.15
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won9/166/11
Wins in straight sets81%71%
Matches in the sample6040

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildFelipe Meligeni Alves

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildF. Meligeni Alves
Hard court2–340%2–340%
Clay40–1573%19–1556%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

T. Seyboth Wild 1–0 F. Meligeni Alves

  • 09/10/26Winner: T. Seyboth Wild6:1 6:4

See also