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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Bueno vs Sanchez Jover: prediction and tips

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Gonzalo BuenoATP #184Elo 1708clay 1717
-:-
Carlos Sanchez JoverATP #328Elo 1609clay 1607

Our tips

Tip in 4h 24m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Gonzalo Bueno61%
Carlos Sanchez Jover39%

Elo: G. Bueno 65% · C. Sanchez Jover 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Bueno40%
2:1 G. Bueno22%
2:1 C. Sanchez Jover16%
2:0 C. Sanchez Jover22%

First set

Gonzalo Bueno59%
Carlos Sanchez Jover41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.545%55%46%
22.541%60%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,922 matches

Games handicap

G. Bueno −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. BuenoTourC. Sanchez Jover
Service points won57%62%58%
Return points won42%38%43%
Service games held67%76%69%
Breaks of serve32%24%33%
Aces per service game0.130.17
Double faults per game0.310.21
Sets with a tie-break10%16%
Tie-breaks won11/1510/20
Wins in straight sets66%55%
Matches in the sample6854

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gonzalo Bueno

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Elo over the last year

Gonzalo BuenoCarlos Sanchez Jover

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. BuenoC. Sanchez Jover
Hard court3–350%0–10%
Clay35–2657%29–2455%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

G. Bueno 1–0 C. Sanchez Jover

  • 08/09/26Winner: G. Bueno0:6 6:4 6:4

Road through the tournament

Gonzalo Bueno

First match in this tournament.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Upcoming matches