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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Cecchinato vs Comesana: prediction and tips

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Marco CecchinatoATP #173Elo 1763clay 1760
-:-
Francisco ComesanaATP #138Elo 1775clay 1780

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.566%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Cecchinato 15 of 20, Comesana 16 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.542%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Cecchinato 8 of 20, Comesana 12 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Marco Cecchinato42%
Francisco Comesana58%

Elo: M. Cecchinato 47% · F. Comesana 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Cecchinato24%
2:1 M. Cecchinato18%
2:1 F. Comesana21%
2:0 F. Comesana38%

First set

Marco Cecchinato43%
Francisco Comesana57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%68%
19.566%34%59%
20.559%42%52%
21.553%47%46%
22.546%54%40%
23.542%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,950 matches

Games handicap

F. Comesana −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. CecchinatoTourF. Comesana
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held78%76%77%
Breaks of serve26%24%23%
Aces per service game0.270.47
Double faults per game0.210.26
Sets with a tie-break17%19%
Tie-breaks won14/3010/25
Wins in straight sets73%57%
Matches in the sample7649

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marco Cecchinato

Francisco Comesana

Elo over the last year

Marco CecchinatoFrancisco Comesana

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. CecchinatoF. Comesana
Hard court1–233%3–925%
Clay43–2960%18–1850%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

M. Cecchinato 1–0 F. Comesana

  • 03/11/26Winner: M. Cecchinato6:1 6:7 7:6

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