Diaz Acosta vs Cecchinato: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Cecchinato: 16 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Diaz Acosta 15 of 20, Cecchinato 19 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Cecchinato: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: F. Diaz Acosta 74% · M. Cecchinato 26%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 34% |
Sample: 3,643 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Diaz Acosta | Tour | M. Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/32 | 14/30 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 79 | 75 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
- 05/11/26WFilip Misolic#676Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 03/11/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:3 6:4
- 21/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#87ATP Almaty · R162:6 4:6
- 19/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#53ATP Almaty · R326:7 6:1 6:4
- 13/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#125Challenger Jinan · R322:6 6:7
- 08/10/26LNuno Borges#49ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 2:6
- 15/09/26LDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 2:6 3:6
- 13/09/26WDusan Lajovic#163Challenger Seville · F6:2 6:1
- 12/09/26WJaume Munar#65Challenger Seville · SF4:6 6:3 7:6
- 11/09/26WSebastian Ofner#121Challenger Seville · QF7:5 6:2
Marco Cecchinato
- 05/11/26WThiago Monteiro#233Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R167:6 6:4
- 03/11/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:1 6:7 7:6
- 21/10/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Lisbon · R161:6 6:4 2:6
- 19/10/26WVilius Gaubas#147Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:3
- 13/10/26LPedro Vives Marcos#588Challenger Catania · R324:6 4:6
- 07/10/26LOlle Wallin#416Challenger Braga · R326:7 0:6
- 18/09/26LMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Szczecin · QF6:7 5:7
- 17/09/26WMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Szczecin · R167:6 6:7 6:2
- 15/09/26WHenri Squire#312Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 6:3
- 07/09/26LLaslo Djere#137Challenger Genoa · R327:6 6:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Diaz Acosta | M. Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–736% | 1–233% |
| Clay | 51–1676% | 43–2861% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–10% |
Head to head
F. Diaz Acosta 1–1 M. Cecchinato
- 05/07/26Winner: F. Diaz Acosta6:7 7:6 7:6
- 10/11/25Winner: M. Cecchinato4:6 5:7
Road through the tournament
Facundo Diaz Acosta
- 03/11/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:3 6:4
- 05/11/26WFilip Misolic#676Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R164:6 7:6 6:4
Marco Cecchinato
- 03/11/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:1 6:7 7:6
- 05/11/26WThiago Monteiro#233Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R167:6 6:4
Upcoming matches
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe
- Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu, · WTA 125 Cali
- Maks Kaśnikowski vs Andres Andrade, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe
- Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges, · ATP Paris
- Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe