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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Prado Angelo vs Ugo Carabelli: prediction and tips

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Juan Carlos Prado AngeloATP #193Elo 1739clay 1748
-:-
Camilo Ugo CarabelliATP #81Elo 1881clay 1900

Our tips

Tip in 22h 24m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo40%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli60%

Elo: J. Prado Angelo 29% · C. Ugo Carabelli 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Prado Angelo23%
2:1 J. Prado Angelo17%
2:1 C. Ugo Carabelli22%
2:0 C. Ugo Carabelli39%

First set

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo42%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%46%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,961 matches

Games handicap

C. Ugo Carabelli −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Prado AngeloTourC. Ugo Carabelli
Service points won59%62%61%
Return points won41%38%37%
Service games held69%76%75%
Breaks of serve31%24%22%
Aces per service game0.180.31
Double faults per game0.180.24
Sets with a tie-break13%17%
Tie-breaks won14/2011/21
Wins in straight sets68%58%
Matches in the sample6551

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Elo over the last year

Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCamilo Ugo Carabelli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Prado AngeloC. Ugo Carabelli
Hard court5–645%4–1225%
Clay32–2160%22–1265%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

J. Prado Angelo 0–2 C. Ugo Carabelli

  • 01/04/24Winner: C. Ugo Carabelli5:7 6:7
  • 06/03/24Winner: C. Ugo Carabelli6:7 1:6

Road through the tournament

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Upcoming matches

See also