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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Sanchez Izquierdo vs Ugo Carabelli 1:2: result and our tips

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Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoATP #151Elo 1708clay 1710
1:2final7:6(6) 4:6 2:6
Camilo Ugo CarabelliATP #81Elo 1865clay 1885

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 63%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Sanchez Izquierdo 12 of 20, Ugo Carabelli 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Sanchez Izquierdo 8 of 20, Ugo Carabelli 11 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo37%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli63%

Elo: N. Sanchez Izquierdo 27% · C. Ugo Carabelli 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Sanchez Izquierdo21%
2:1 N. Sanchez Izquierdo16%
2:1 C. Ugo Carabelli23%
2:0 C. Ugo Carabelli41%

First set

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo40%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%46%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,775 matches

Games handicap

C. Ugo Carabelli −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 31 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoCamilo Ugo Carabelli
1Aces3
2Double faults4
64%First serves in67%
63%First-serve points won70%
43%Second-serve points won55%
2/6Break points converted5/13
10/15Service games held13/15
56%Service points won65%
35%Return points won44%
93Total points won110

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. Sanchez IzquierdoTourC. Ugo Carabelli
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won42%38%37%
Service games held75%76%74%
Breaks of serve32%24%22%
Aces per service game0.180.31
Double faults per game0.220.24
Sets with a tie-break16%17%
Tie-breaks won8/2411/20
Wins in straight sets65%58%
Matches in the sample6649

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Elo over the last year

Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoCamilo Ugo Carabelli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. Sanchez IzquierdoC. Ugo Carabelli
Hard court0–10%4–1225%
Clay37–2758%20–1263%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

N. Sanchez Izquierdo 0–1 C. Ugo Carabelli

  • 18/06/24Winner: C. Ugo Carabelli4:6 2:6

Upcoming matches

See also