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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Diaz Acosta vs Pucinelli de Almeida 2:0: result and our tips

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Facundo Diaz AcostaATP #72Elo 1905clay 1926
2:0final6:3 6:4
Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaATP #197Elo 1807clay 1820

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 61%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Diaz Acosta 13 of 20, Pucinelli de Almeida 16 of 20 (tour average 59%); Pucinelli de Almeida: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
1st Set Winner: Pucinelli de AlmeidaLost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pucinelli de Almeida: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Facundo Diaz Acosta61%
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida39%

Elo: F. Diaz Acosta 65% · M. Pucinelli de Almeida 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Diaz Acosta39%
2:1 F. Diaz Acosta22%
2:1 M. Pucinelli de Almeida17%
2:0 M. Pucinelli de Almeida22%

First set

Facundo Diaz Acosta59%
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%52%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,926 matches

Games handicap

F. Diaz Acosta −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Facundo Diaz AcostaMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida
—Aces—
4Double faults4
48%First serves in62%
70%First-serve points won53%
35%Second-serve points won28%
7/11Break points converted4/5
5/9Service games held3/10
52%Service points won43%
57%Return points won48%
72Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. Diaz AcostaTourM. Pucinelli de Almeida
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won42%38%44%
Service games held77%76%77%
Breaks of serve33%24%34%
Aces per service game0.260.20
Double faults per game0.180.26
Sets with a tie-break17%12%
Tie-breaks won16/316/15
Wins in straight sets60%67%
Matches in the sample7754

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Elo over the last year

Facundo Diaz AcostaMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. Diaz AcostaM. Pucinelli de Almeida
Hard court4–736%3–443%
Clay49–1675%33–1470%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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