Skip to content
WTA 125 CaliSemifinalclaybest of three sets

Tubello vs Andreescu: prediction and tips

·

Alice TubelloWTA #152Elo 1764clay 1785
-:-
Bianca AndreescuWTA #109Elo 1856clay 1839

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Andreescu66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Andreescu: 13 matches in a row winning the first set; Tubello lost the first set in 6 of the last 20 matches, Andreescu won the first set in 18 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Andreescu73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andreescu: 13 wins in a row; Andreescu won 10 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 21.556%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Tubello 11 of 20, Andreescu 17 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.546%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Tubello 11 of 20, Andreescu 14 of 20 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alice Tubello27%
Bianca Andreescu73%

Elo: A. Tubello 42% · B. Andreescu 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Tubello15%
2:1 A. Tubello13%
2:1 B. Andreescu22%
2:0 B. Andreescu50%

First set

Alice Tubello35%
Bianca Andreescu65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%68%
18.564%37%59%
19.555%45%52%
20.548%52%45%
21.545%55%41%
22.540%60%37%
23.536%65%33%

Sample: 1,236 matches

Games handicap

B. Andreescu −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. TubelloTourB. Andreescu
Service points won55%56%58%
Return points won47%44%45%
Service games held61%63%71%
Breaks of serve43%37%37%
Aces per service game0.080.32
Double faults per game0.240.29
Sets with a tie-break7%9%
Tie-breaks won3/56/9
Wins in straight sets69%72%
Matches in the sample2945

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alice Tubello

Bianca Andreescu

Elo over the last year

Alice TubelloBianca Andreescu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. TubelloB. Andreescu
Hard court0–20%14–961%
Clay16–1062%12–571%
Grass0–10%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alice Tubello

Bianca Andreescu

Upcoming matches

See also