WTA Hong KongWTA 250Semifinalhardbest of three sets
Shubladze vs Liu: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 9h 15mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alexandra Shubladze49%
Claire Liu51%
Elo: A. Shubladze 59% · C. Liu 41%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Shubladze31%
2:1 A. Shubladze19%
2:1 C. Liu19%
2:0 C. Liu31%
First set
Alexandra Shubladze50%
Claire Liu50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,352 matches
Games handicap
C. Liu −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 23%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Shubladze | Tour | C. Liu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 48% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 69% | 63% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 47% | 37% | 39% |
| Aces per service game | 0.09 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.38 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/8 | 3/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 17 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexandra Shubladze
- 06/11/26WSorana Cirstea#15WTA Hong Kong · QF6:2 6:3
- 05/11/26WElena Pridankina#206WTA Hong Kong · R166:7 6:1 6:3
- 03/11/26WLiudmila Samsonova#40WTA Hong Kong · R325:7 6:1 6:2
- 01/11/26WEmerson Jones#132WTA Hong Kong · Q26:4 6:2
- 31/10/26WYing Zhang#788WTA Hong Kong · Q16:4 6:3
- 24/10/26LPolina Iatcenko#169WTA Guangzhou · Q13:6 6:2 4:6
- 04/10/26WJessica Bouzas Maneiro#100WTA 125 Jingshan · F6:3 6:2
- 03/10/26WEmerson Jones#132WTA 125 Jingshan · SF7:5 6:4
- 02/10/26WSijia Wei#375WTA 125 Jingshan · QF6:7 6:3 6:2
- 30/09/26WJia-Jing Lu#377WTA 125 Jingshan · R166:0 6:2
Claire Liu
- 06/11/26WZeynep Sonmez#67WTA Hong Kong · QF6:1 6:4
- 04/11/26WKatie Boulter#49WTA Hong Kong · R167:5 6:4
- 02/11/26WTatiana Prozorova#124WTA Hong Kong · R326:2 6:4
- 30/10/26LXinran Sun#303WTA Guangzhou · QF5:7 6:7
- 27/10/26WAntonia Ruzic#81WTA Guangzhou · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 20/10/26LMagda Linette#68WTA Osaka · R324:6 3:6
- 18/10/26WMaddison Inglis#135WTA Osaka · Q26:4 6:3
- 17/10/26WKanon Sawashiro#600WTA Osaka · Q16:1 6:1
- 10/10/26LLanlana Tararudee#63WTA Wuhan · Q16:7 4:6
- 07/10/26LRebecca Sramkova#146WTA 125 Suzhou · R165:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Alexandra ShubladzeClaire Liu
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Shubladze | C. Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–476% | 16–1062% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 7–558% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 5–271% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alexandra Shubladze
- 31/10/26WYing Zhang#788WTA Hong Kong · Q16:4 6:3
- 01/11/26WEmerson Jones#132WTA Hong Kong · Q26:4 6:2
- 03/11/26WLiudmila Samsonova#40WTA Hong Kong · R325:7 6:1 6:2
- 05/11/26WElena Pridankina#206WTA Hong Kong · R166:7 6:1 6:3
- 06/11/26WSorana Cirstea#15WTA Hong Kong · QF6:2 6:3
Claire Liu
- 02/11/26WTatiana Prozorova#124WTA Hong Kong · R326:2 6:4
- 04/11/26WKatie Boulter#49WTA Hong Kong · R167:5 6:4
- 06/11/26WZeynep Sonmez#67WTA Hong Kong · QF6:1 6:4
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