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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Ficovich vs Coria: prediction and tips

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Juan Pablo FicovichATP #370Elo 1537clay 1555
-:-
Federico CoriaATP #831Elo 1664clay 1670

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.557%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%

Ficovich: 8 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.561%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ficovich: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Tie-break in Match: No74%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 70% → with the players' profiles 74%

    Ficovich: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.538%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 38%

Ficovich: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Juan Pablo Ficovich48%
Federico Coria52%

Elo: J. Ficovich 34% · F. Coria 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Ficovich29%
2:1 J. Ficovich19%
2:1 F. Coria20%
2:0 F. Coria33%

First set

Juan Pablo Ficovich48%
Federico Coria52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,454 matches

Games handicap

F. Coria −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. FicovichTourF. Coria
Service points won61%62%58%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held72%76%66%
Breaks of serve27%24%25%
Aces per service game0.380.22
Double faults per game0.210.24
Sets with a tie-break13%15%
Tie-breaks won4/134/7
Wins in straight sets65%50%
Matches in the sample4322

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Federico Coria

Elo over the last year

Juan Pablo FicovichFederico Coria

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. FicovichF. Coria
Hard court7–1139%0–10%
Clay9–1145%7–1237%
Grass1–420%1–150%

Head to head

J. Ficovich 1–1 F. Coria

  • 08/03/25Winner: J. Ficovich7:6 6:3
  • 10/10/23Winner: F. Coria6:7 6:2 3:6

Road through the tournament

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Federico Coria

Upcoming matches

See also