Skip to content
Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Shimizu vs Kumstat: prediction and tips

·

Yuta ShimizuATP #405Elo 1708hard 1692
-:-
Jan KumstatATP #194Elo 1901hard 1797

Our tips

Tip in 8h 17m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yuta Shimizu38%
Jan Kumstat62%

Elo: Y. Shimizu 35% · J. Kumstat 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Shimizu22%
2:1 Y. Shimizu16%
2:1 J. Kumstat22%
2:0 J. Kumstat40%

First set

Yuta Shimizu42%
Jan Kumstat59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,999 matches

Games handicap

J. Kumstat −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. ShimizuTourJ. Kumstat
Service points won63%62%67%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held79%76%86%
Breaks of serve24%24%23%
Aces per service game0.390.72
Double faults per game0.220.23
Sets with a tie-break20%18%
Tie-breaks won15/2511/16
Wins in straight sets67%60%
Matches in the sample5339

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yuta Shimizu

Jan Kumstat

Elo over the last year

Yuta ShimizuJan Kumstat

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. ShimizuJ. Kumstat
Hard court28–2256%6–555%
Clay2–167%24–486%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yuta Shimizu

Jan Kumstat

Upcoming matches

See also