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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Shimizu vs Jasika: prediction and tips

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Yuta ShimizuATP #405Elo 1694hard 1677
-:-
Omar JasikaATP #329Elo 1666hard 1665

Our tips

Tip in 9h 23m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yuta Shimizu56%
Omar Jasika44%

Elo: Y. Shimizu 52% · O. Jasika 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Shimizu36%
2:1 Y. Shimizu21%
2:1 O. Jasika18%
2:0 O. Jasika26%

First set

Yuta Shimizu55%
Omar Jasika45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,832 matches

Games handicap

Y. Shimizu −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. ShimizuTourO. Jasika
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held78%76%76%
Breaks of serve23%24%24%
Aces per service game0.390.17
Double faults per game0.230.23
Sets with a tie-break20%17%
Tie-breaks won15/2512/20
Wins in straight sets66%63%
Matches in the sample5353

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yuta Shimizu

Omar Jasika

Elo over the last year

Yuta ShimizuOmar Jasika

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. ShimizuO. Jasika
Hard court27–2354%26–2551%
Clay2–167%1–150%

Head to head

Y. Shimizu 1–1 O. Jasika

  • 02/05/24Winner: Y. Shimizu7:5 7:5
  • 06/07/23Winner: O. Jasika3:6 3:6

Road through the tournament

Yuta Shimizu

Omar Jasika

Upcoming matches