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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Watanuki vs Muller: prediction and tips

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Yosuke WatanukiATP #375Elo 1766hard 1762
-:-
Alexandre MullerATP #146Elo 1800hard 1791

Our tips

Tip in 11h 45m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yosuke Watanuki58%
Alexandre Muller42%

Elo: Y. Watanuki 46% · A. Muller 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Watanuki37%
2:1 Y. Watanuki21%
2:1 A. Muller17%
2:0 A. Muller25%

First set

Yosuke Watanuki56%
Alexandre Muller44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,032 matches

Games handicap

Y. Watanuki −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. WatanukiTourA. Muller
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held75%76%74%
Breaks of serve32%24%19%
Aces per service game0.680.34
Double faults per game0.240.18
Sets with a tie-break14%14%
Tie-breaks won7/1110/16
Wins in straight sets80%62%
Matches in the sample3449

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yosuke Watanuki

Alexandre Muller

Elo over the last year

Yosuke WatanukiAlexandre Muller

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. WatanukiA. Muller
Hard court20–1067%12–1348%
Clay0–40%9–1439%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yosuke Watanuki

Alexandre Muller

Upcoming matches