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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Demin vs Muller 0:2: result and our tips

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Yaroslav DeminATP #358Elo 1674hard 1676
0:2final4:6 3:6
Alexandre MullerATP #146Elo 1782hard 1771

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 62%

No tie-break in recent matches: Demin 12 of 18, Muller 17 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Demin 14 of 18, Muller 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Demin 13 of 18, Muller 15 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 39%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Demin 10 of 18, Muller 15 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yaroslav Demin38%
Alexandre Muller62%

Elo: Y. Demin 37% · A. Muller 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Demin22%
2:1 Y. Demin16%
2:1 A. Muller22%
2:0 A. Muller41%

First set

Yaroslav Demin41%
Alexandre Muller59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,939 matches

Games handicap

A. Muller −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yaroslav DeminAlexandre Muller
4Aces3
1Double faults0
61%First serves in68%
63%First-serve points won73%
50%Second-serve points won74%
0/2Break points converted2/6
7/9Service games held10/10
58%Service points won73%
27%Return points won42%
52Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. DeminTourA. Muller
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won38%38%35%
Service games held79%76%74%
Breaks of serve24%24%19%
Aces per service game0.390.33
Double faults per game0.380.18
Sets with a tie-break15%14%
Tie-breaks won5/69/15
Wins in straight sets75%63%
Matches in the sample1847

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yaroslav Demin

Alexandre Muller

Elo over the last year

Yaroslav DeminAlexandre Muller

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. DeminA. Muller
Hard court10–567%10–1343%
Clay2–167%9–1439%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also