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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Broom vs Demin 0:2: result and our tips

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Charles BroomATP #268Elo 1710hard 1694
0:2final1:6 3:6
Yaroslav DeminATP #596Elo 1509hard 1500

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Charles Broom69%
Yaroslav Demin31%

Elo: C. Broom 75% · Y. Demin 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Broom46%
2:1 C. Broom22%
2:1 Y. Demin14%
2:0 Y. Demin18%

First set

Charles Broom64%
Yaroslav Demin36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.560%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,033 matches

Games handicap

C. Broom −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Charles BroomYaroslav Demin
6Aces3
5Double faults2
57%First serves in71%
71%First-serve points won76%
26%Second-serve points won83%
0/0Break points converted4/11
4/8Service games held8/8
52%Service points won78%
22%Return points won48%
37Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. BroomTourY. Demin
Service points won65%62%62%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held81%76%76%
Breaks of serve25%24%23%
Aces per service game0.480.39
Double faults per game0.180.37
Sets with a tie-break17%17%
Tie-breaks won9/214/5
Wins in straight sets66%88%
Matches in the sample5014

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Charles Broom

  • 27/10/26WAkira Santillan#294Challenger Ningbo · R326:3 6:3
  • 06/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#360Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:7 4:6
  • 01/09/26LMathys Erhard#373Challenger Manacor · Q22:6 7:6 1:6
  • 31/08/26WHongjin QiChallenger Manacor · Q16:2 6:2
  • 29/08/26LGeorge Loffhagen#499Challenger Roehampton 2 · F5:7 3:6
  • 28/08/26WOliver Tarvet#295Challenger Roehampton 2 · SF6:4 5:7 6:1
  • 27/08/26WMax Basing#258Challenger Roehampton 2 · QF6:4 6:2
  • 26/08/26WPatrick Brady#698Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:4 6:1
  • 25/08/26WLeonardo Rossi#530Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:4 6:1
  • 20/08/26LOliver Tarvet#295Challenger Roehampton · QF4:6 7:5 1:6

Yaroslav Demin

Elo over the last year

Charles BroomYaroslav Demin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. BroomY. Demin
Hard court24–1562%6–555%
Clay0–20%2–167%
Grass5–456%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Charles Broom

Yaroslav Demin