Sun vs Demin 0:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Q. Sun 35% · Y. Demin 65%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 33% | 67% | 35% |
Sample: 3,590 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 20.5out · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Qian Sun | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 2 |
| 3 | Double faults | 3 |
| 61% | First serves in | 59% |
| 55% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 35% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 5/9 |
| 3/8 | Service games held | 7/8 |
| 47% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 53% |
| 44 | Total points won | 63 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Q. Sun | Tour | Y. Demin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.34 | 0.38 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/2 | 3/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 80% | |
| Matches in the sample | 5 | 11 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Qian Sun
- 20/10/26LFajing Sun#292Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 2:6
- 11/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Jinan · Q12:6 7:6 4:6
- 03/05/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Wuxi · Q16:1 3:6 5:7
- 12/04/26LYuta Kikuchi#938Challenger Wuning 2 · Q15:7 3:6
- 07/04/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#546Challenger Wuning · R326:7 4:6
- 07/09/25LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Guangzhou 2 · Q11:6 7:6 4:6
- 24/08/25LKaichi Uchida#420Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q11:6 3:6
- 25/08/24LNorbert Gombos#370Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q12:6 6:7
- 11/10/23LJie Cui#393Challenger Shenzhen · R323:6 3:6
- 12/09/23LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Guangzhou · R321:6 2:6
Yaroslav Demin
- 20/10/26LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 4:6 3:6
- 19/10/26WKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 6:2
- 18/10/26WAlexander Binda#466Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 7:6
- 07/10/26LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#528Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:4
- 13/09/26LHanyi Liu#827Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q13:6 3:6
- 02/08/26LSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q14:6 2:6
- 19/07/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#494Challenger Segovia · Q15:7 3:6
- 02/04/26LJonas Forejtek#303Challenger Menorca · R321:6 6:7
- 01/04/26WChristoph Negritu#726Challenger Menorca · Q27:6 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Q. Sun | Y. Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–50% | 3–538% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 2–167% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Qian Sun
- 26/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Ningbo · Q16:4 7:5
Yaroslav Demin
- 26/10/26WMartin Borisiouk#724Challenger Ningbo · Q17:6 6:3