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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Broom vs Santillan 2:0: result and our tips

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Charles BroomATP #268Elo 1699hard 1682
2:0final6:3 6:3
Akira SantillanATP #294Elo 1570hard 1568

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 61%

No tie-break in recent matches: Broom 15 of 20, Santillan 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Broom 10 of 20, Santillan 8 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Charles Broom62%
Akira Santillan38%

Elo: C. Broom 66% · A. Santillan 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Broom40%
2:1 C. Broom22%
2:1 A. Santillan16%
2:0 A. Santillan23%

First set

Charles Broom58%
Akira Santillan42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,869 matches

Games handicap

C. Broom −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Charles BroomAkira Santillan
5Aces3
2Double faults1
63%First serves in72%
75%First-serve points won54%
63%Second-serve points won50%
4/8Break points converted1/1
8/9Service games held5/9
71%Service points won53%
47%Return points won29%
63Total points won45

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. BroomTourA. Santillan
Service points won65%62%63%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held81%76%76%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.480.47
Double faults per game0.180.32
Sets with a tie-break17%10%
Tie-breaks won9/216/11
Wins in straight sets64%54%
Matches in the sample5049

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Charles Broom

  • 06/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#360Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:7 4:6
  • 01/09/26LMathys Erhard#373Challenger Manacor · Q22:6 7:6 1:6
  • 31/08/26WHongjin QiChallenger Manacor · Q16:2 6:2
  • 29/08/26LGeorge Loffhagen#499Challenger Roehampton 2 · F5:7 3:6
  • 28/08/26WOliver Tarvet#295Challenger Roehampton 2 · SF6:4 5:7 6:1
  • 27/08/26WMax Basing#258Challenger Roehampton 2 · QF6:4 6:2
  • 26/08/26WPatrick Brady#698Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:4 6:1
  • 25/08/26WLeonardo Rossi#530Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:4 6:1
  • 20/08/26LOliver Tarvet#295Challenger Roehampton · QF4:6 7:5 1:6
  • 19/08/26WAlex Rybakov#636Challenger Roehampton · R167:5 6:3

Akira Santillan

  • 23/10/26LJie Cui#393Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF4:6 3:6
  • 22/10/26WLiam Broady#231Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 6:4
  • 20/10/26WYaroslav Demin#596Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 6:4 6:3
  • 09/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#481Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 1:6 4:6
  • 07/10/26WYaroslav Demin#596Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
  • 05/10/26WLuca Castelnuovo#446Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 3:6 7:6
  • 29/09/26LLuka Pavlovic#204Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 4:6
  • 23/09/26LAlex Bolt#175ATP Hangzhou · Q21:6 6:2 4:6
  • 22/09/26WKaigaoge KangATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 6:0
  • 16/09/26LPavel Kotov#169Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Charles BroomAkira Santillan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. BroomA. Santillan
Hard court23–1659%21–1953%
Clay0–20%3–633%
Grass5–456%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.