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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Demin vs Mayot 2:0: result and our tips

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Yaroslav DeminATP #358Elo 1557hard 1550
2:0final6:3 6:4
Harold MayotATP #220Elo 1818hard 1819

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Demin 12 of 15, Mayot 13 of 20 (tour average 58%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Demin 13 of 15, Mayot 13 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Match Winner: MayotLost76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mayot won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
1st Set Winner: DeminWon30%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Demin: 7 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yaroslav Demin24%
Harold Mayot76%

Elo: Y. Demin 18% · H. Mayot 82%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Demin13%
2:1 Y. Demin11%
2:1 H. Mayot22%
2:0 H. Mayot54%

First set

Yaroslav Demin30%
Harold Mayot70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,720 matches

Games handicap

H. Mayot −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yaroslav DeminHarold Mayot
6Aces2
3Double faults0
74%First serves in74%
73%First-serve points won71%
56%Second-serve points won29%
2/7Break points converted0/5
10/10Service games held7/9
69%Service points won60%
40%Return points won31%
74Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. DeminTourH. Mayot
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held77%76%77%
Breaks of serve24%24%25%
Aces per service game0.390.41
Double faults per game0.360.19
Sets with a tie-break16%12%
Tie-breaks won4/57/13
Wins in straight sets89%59%
Matches in the sample1546

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yaroslav Demin

Harold Mayot

Elo over the last year

Yaroslav DeminHarold Mayot

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. DeminH. Mayot
Hard court7–558%24–1169%
Clay2–167%2–625%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yaroslav Demin

Harold Mayot

See also