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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Harris vs Watanuki 0:2: result and our tips

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Lloyd HarrisATP #103Elo 1938hard 1919
0:2final2:6 4:6
Yosuke WatanukiATP #375Elo 1739hard 1734

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: HarrisLost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Harris won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
1st Set Winner: WatanukiWon42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Watanuki: 8 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lloyd Harris62%
Yosuke Watanuki38%

Elo: L. Harris 74% · Y. Watanuki 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Harris40%
2:1 L. Harris22%
2:1 Y. Watanuki16%
2:0 Y. Watanuki22%

First set

Lloyd Harris58%
Yosuke Watanuki42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 58%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,963 matches

Games handicap

L. Harris −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lloyd HarrisYosuke Watanuki
8Aces6
4Double faults1
62%First serves in57%
64%First-serve points won82%
40%Second-serve points won48%
1/2Break points converted4/7
5/9Service games held8/9
55%Service points won67%
33%Return points won45%
48Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. HarrisTourY. Watanuki
Service points won67%62%62%
Return points won37%38%40%
Service games held85%76%74%
Breaks of serve25%24%31%
Aces per service game0.780.67
Double faults per game0.130.25
Sets with a tie-break18%15%
Tie-breaks won12/247/11
Wins in straight sets62%78%
Matches in the sample5832

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lloyd Harris

Yosuke Watanuki

Elo over the last year

Lloyd HarrisYosuke Watanuki

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. HarrisY. Watanuki
Hard court38–1178%18–1064%
Clay4–450%0–40%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lloyd Harris

First match in this tournament.

Yosuke Watanuki