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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kumstat vs Harris 2:0: result and our tips

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Jan KumstatATP #194Elo 1867hard 1728
2:0final7:6(8) 6:4
Billy HarrisATP #232Elo 1686hard 1661

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 64%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Kumstat 13 of 20, Harris 14 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 42%

A tie-break in recent matches: Kumstat 8 of 20, Harris 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jan Kumstat53%
Billy Harris47%

Elo: J. Kumstat 60% · B. Harris 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Kumstat34%
2:1 J. Kumstat20%
2:1 B. Harris18%
2:0 B. Harris28%

First set

Jan Kumstat53%
Billy Harris47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%37%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,479 matches

Games handicap

J. Kumstat −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jan KumstatBilly Harris
20Aces9
1Double faults1
60%First serves in70%
86%First-serve points won80%
66%Second-serve points won68%
1/3Break points converted0/4
11/11Service games held10/11
78%Service points won77%
23%Return points won22%
71Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. KumstatTourB. Harris
Service points won67%62%62%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held85%76%78%
Breaks of serve24%24%20%
Aces per service game0.680.45
Double faults per game0.240.20
Sets with a tie-break16%26%
Tie-breaks won9/1413/35
Wins in straight sets61%55%
Matches in the sample3757

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jan Kumstat

Billy Harris

Elo over the last year

Jan KumstatBilly Harris

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. KumstatB. Harris
Hard court4–544%14–2338%
Clay24–486%1–811%
Grass0–07–464%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jan Kumstat

Billy Harris