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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Harris vs Vukic 2:0: result and our tips

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Billy HarrisATP #252Elo 1667hard 1639
2:0final6:2 6:4
Aleksandar VukicATP #116Elo 1802hard 1788

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 62%

Harris: 13 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Match Winner: VukicLost67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Harris lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 37%

Over 25.5 games in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Billy Harris33%
Aleksandar Vukic67%

Elo: B. Harris 30% · A. Vukic 70%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Harris19%
2:1 B. Harris15%
2:1 A. Vukic22%
2:0 A. Vukic44%

First set

Billy Harris38%
Aleksandar Vukic62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,353 matches

Games handicap

A. Vukic −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Billy HarrisAleksandar Vukic
4Aces3
1Double faults1
62%First serves in62%
88%First-serve points won60%
29%Second-serve points won43%
4/13Break points converted1/2
8/9Service games held5/9
66%Service points won53%
47%Return points won35%
70Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. HarrisTourA. Vukic
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won36%38%35%
Service games held77%76%79%
Breaks of serve19%24%17%
Aces per service game0.460.58
Double faults per game0.200.17
Sets with a tie-break26%25%
Tie-breaks won14/3621/36
Wins in straight sets55%61%
Matches in the sample5661

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Billy Harris

Aleksandar Vukic

Elo over the last year

Billy HarrisAleksandar Vukic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. HarrisA. Vukic
Hard court12–2433%22–2151%
Clay1–811%2–820%
Grass7–464%4–450%

Head to head

B. Harris 2–1 A. Vukic

  • 17/03/26Winner: A. Vukic6:7 4:6
  • 10/03/26Winner: B. Harris7:6 7:6
  • 12/04/25Winner: B. Harris3:6 6:3 6:4

Road through the tournament

Billy Harris

Aleksandar Vukic