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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Sun vs Liu 2:0: result and our tips

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Xinran SunWTA #303Elo 1742hard 1750
2:0final7:5 7:6(2)
Claire LiuWTA #102Elo 1766hard 1742

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Sun 4 of 6, Liu 17 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Sun 4 of 6, Liu 17 of 20 (tour average 66%)

  • Tie-break in Match: NoLost75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No tie-break in recent matches: Sun 5 of 6, Liu 18 of 20 (tour average 78%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Sun 3 of 6, Liu 13 of 20 (tour average 44%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Xinran Sun38%
Claire Liu62%

Elo: X. Sun 51% · C. Liu 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 X. Sun24%
2:1 X. Sun17%
2:1 C. Liu22%
2:0 C. Liu38%

First set

Xinran Sun43%
Claire Liu57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,437 matches

Games handicap

C. Liu −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Xinran SunClaire Liu
7Aces7
1Double faults3
58%First serves in71%
66%First-serve points won63%
62%Second-serve points won57%
2/8Break points converted1/7
11/12Service games held10/12
64%Service points won61%
39%Return points won36%
87Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

X. SunTourC. Liu
Service points won56%56%58%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held63%63%69%
Breaks of serve39%37%41%
Aces per service game0.180.28
Double faults per game0.280.27
Sets with a tie-break6%9%
Tie-breaks won1/13/9
Wins in straight sets40%70%
Matches in the sample744

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Xinran Sun

Claire Liu

Elo over the last year

Xinran SunClaire Liu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

X. SunC. Liu
Hard court4–180%15–1060%
Clay1–150%7–558%
Grass0–05–271%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Xinran Sun

Claire Liu

See also