WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Timofeeva vs Sun: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 15h 30mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Maria Timofeeva67%
Xinran Sun33%
Elo: M. Timofeeva 74% · X. Sun 26%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Timofeeva44%
2:1 M. Timofeeva21%
2:1 X. Sun15%
2:0 X. Sun19%
First set
Maria Timofeeva63%
Xinran Sun37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 2,149 matches
Games handicap
M. Timofeeva −3.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Timofeeva | Tour | X. Sun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 48% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 66% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 44% | 37% | 39% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 0% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/10 | 0/0 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 6 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maria Timofeeva
- 26/10/26WTeodora Kostovic#143WTA Guangzhou · R326:4 6:1
- 02/10/26LNaomi Osaka#18WTA Beijing · R643:6 6:3 3:6
- 30/09/26WDarja Vidmanova#92WTA Beijing · R1286:3 6:3
- 27/09/26WReese Brantmeier#217WTA 125 Porto · F7:6 6:2
- 26/09/26WMia Pohankova#144WTA 125 Porto · SF6:2 6:7 6:3
- 25/09/26WGabriela Knutson#164WTA 125 Porto · QF6:1 6:2
- 23/09/26WKajsa Rinaldo Persson#221WTA 125 Porto · R166:3 6:0
- 22/09/26WSofia Johnson#354WTA 125 Porto · R326:4 6:2
- 03/09/26LElise Mertens#14WTA US Open · R642:6 6:7
- 31/08/26WTamara Zidansek#141WTA US Open · R1286:3 7:5
Xinran Sun
- 27/10/26WMananchaya Sawangkaew#80WTA Guangzhou · R326:3 6:4
- 05/10/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Beijing · R325:7 1:6
- 03/10/26WCristina Bucsa#42WTA Beijing · R646:4 7:5
- 01/10/26WEva Lys#160WTA Beijing · R1286:1 3:0
- 07/05/26LMia Ristic#182WTA 125 Istanbul · R162:6 1:6
- 05/05/26WLina Gjorcheska#370WTA 125 Istanbul · R326:4 4:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Maria TimofeevaXinran Sun
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Timofeeva | X. Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1159% | 3–175% |
| Clay | 13–476% | 1–150% |
| Grass | 4–267% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Maria Timofeeva
- 26/10/26WTeodora Kostovic#143WTA Guangzhou · R326:4 6:1
Xinran Sun
- 27/10/26WMananchaya Sawangkaew#80WTA Guangzhou · R326:3 6:4